The model also says you should back the Under (50.5) in that game. Another one of its Week 7 NFL predictions: The Lions (+15) cover against the Rams well over 50 percent of the time. We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 7 NFL picks is that the Patriots (-7) cover the spread against the Jets in 60 percent of simulations. Now, the model has evaluated the latest NFL Vegas odds, simulated every snap for Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season, and the results are in. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span.